1-Man’s Opinion Column-Thursday- “Price You Pay for QBs-NFL”

Posted by on April 21st, 2016  •  0 Comments  • 

“NFL Trades for QB-Price You Pay”

Jimmy Johnson was a pretty bright guy. He had great success in college football with the Miami Hurricanes, and great success with Jerry Jones and the Dallas Cowboys.

He was a master at making trades, drafting right, and creating a talent laden roster to go with his X-and-O playbook.

Jimmy Johnson is the one who came up with the NFL-Trade Value Chart, the one used today to assign values for each pick in the NFL draft. If you are dealing draft picks, you want to get equal value in return for what you give up, unless, you are dealing for a quarterback at the top of the draft.

His Draft chart shows 1st round picks, with the top pick in the lst round is worth (3,000) points. The 2nd pick has a value of (2,600) , the 3rd slot is worth (2,200) and so on down the line.

Clubs that swap high picks,usually get multiple picks to match the total of points dealt for points (picks) received. Except in the world of quarterbacks.

Jimmy Johnson is the one who fleeced the Minnesota Vikings in what would turn out to be an (11-for-1) trade that shipped running back Herschel Walker to the Vikes for picks and players. The Cowboys wound up with deals that eventually brought them Russell Maryland and Emmett Smith and so many others in a lopsided deal.

This week we have had 2-blockbuster quarterback deals, that are really ‘off the charts’. The Rams grossly overpaying to get the 1st pick in the draft, from Tennessee, for the right to get either Jared Goff or Carson Wentz, they hope becomes the quarterback of the future. And then the Eagles, who already have 2-quarterbacks with big contracts, pay a huge price to go the 2nd spot, acquiring Cleveland’s pick.

The Rams gave the Tennessee Titans this years #1, both #2’s, and a 3rd, plus #1 and #3 in the 2017 draft, for the top pick and a 4th and 7th rounder.

If you tally up the value, LA dealt away 15,600-points worth of picks (6-picks), and received just 6,400 points (3-picks) in value coming back from the Titans. A truly lopsided trade.

Then the Eagles shipped a 1st-3rd-4th this year,, a 1st in 2017, and a 2nd in 2018, to get into the spot slot on the draft board. Cleveland winds up with a total of 12 picks in their pocket now on draft weekend.

The scoreboard will read, Cleveland shipped off (3100) points in value to get (6,416) points worth of Eagles draft picks.

The other big quarterback deal a week ago, saw the Redskins give up on struggling quarterback Robert Griffin III, releasing him, eating his 16M-guaranteed contract, and letting him go on the open market, where the Cleveland Browns signed him.

The Rams had engineered a similar trade 4-years ago with the Redskins, to give Washington the very high lst round pick to get RGIII. Again, a high priced acquisition.

In that trade, Washington gave up 3-first round picks plus a 2nd round pick, worth a value of (11,600) points to get onc choice, Griffin, taken in the 2nd slot, with a value of (2,600) points. The Rams turned around a made deals with the picks, trading down a couple of times to stockpile more picks. They wound up getting some pretty good defensive players. The Redskins got a year and a half out of Griffin, before injuries, a coaching change, and feuds eroded everything they were trying to build.

It’s always a gamble to make mega deals. So when you want your NFL team to trade up, or trade down, consult the chart, and hope you don’t make a mistake, in the picks given away, or the person you pick after you paid a high price. .

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Jimmy Johnson NFL Draft Value Chart.

most swaps of choices usually still fall in line with these basic values.

Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7
1 3,000 33 580 65 265 97 112 129 43 161 27 193 14.2
2 2,600 34 560 66 260 98 108 130 42 162 26.6 194 13.8
3 2,200 35 550 67 255 99 104 131 41 163 26.2 195 13.4
4 1,800 36 540 68 250 100 100 132 40 164 25.8 196 13
5 1,700 37 530 69 245 101 96 133 39.5 165 25.4 197 12.6
6 1,600 38 520 70 240 102 92 134 39 166 25 198 12.2
7 1,500 39 510 71 235 103 88 135 38.5 167 24.6 199 11.8
8 1,400 40 500 72 230 104 86 136 38 168 24.2 200 11.4
9 1,350 41 490 73 225 105 84 137 37.5 169 23.8 201 11
10 1,300 42 480 74 220 106 82 138 37 170 23.4 202 10.6
11 1,250 43 470 75 215 107 80 139 36.5 171 23 203 10.2
12 1,200 44 460 76 210 108 78 140 36 172 22.6 204 9.8
13 1,150 45 450 77 205 109 76 141 35.5 173 22.2 205 9.4
14 1,100 46 440 78 200 110 74 142 35 174 21.8 206 9
15 1,050 47 430 79 195 111 72 143 34.5 175 21.4 207 8.6
16 1,000 48 420 80 190 112 70 144 34 176 21 208 8.2
17 950 49 410 81 185 113 68 145 33.5 177 20.6 209 7.8
18 900 50 400 82 180 114 66 146 33 178 20.2 210 7.4
19 875 51 390 83 175 115 64 147 32.6 179 19.8 211 7
20 850 52 380 84 170 116 62 148 32.2 180 19.4 212 6.6
21 800 53 370 85 165 117 60 149 31.8 181 19 213 6.2
22 780 54 360 86 160 118 58 150 31.4 182 18.6 214 5.8
23 760 55 350 87 155 119 56 151 31 183 18.2 215 5.4
24 740 56 340 88 150 120 54 152 30.6 184 17.8 216 5
25 720 57 330 89 145 121 52 153 30.2 185 17.4 217 4.6
26 700 58 320 90 140 122 50 154 29.8 186 17 218 4.2
27 680 59 310 91 136 123 49 155 29.4 187 16.6 219 3.8
28 660 60 300 92 132 124 48 156 29 188 16.2 220 3.4
29 640 61 292 93 128 125 47 157 28.6 189 15.8 221 3
30 620 62 284 94 124 126 46 158 28.2 190 15.4 222 2.6
31 600 63 276 95 120 127 45 159 27.8 191 15 223 2.3
32 590 64 270 96 116 128 44 160 27.4 192 14.6 224 2

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