Chargers – Cardinals

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They are ready, and they are going to win, at least tonight they are.
 
The Chargers play the Arizona Cardinals in what they hope will be the next step forward to regaining their status as an elite team in the AFC.  They snapped a three year playoff drought last year, forging their way into the postseason, with a late season run.  They wound up winning a playoff game in Cincinnati to boot, to complete a ‘regain the credibility’ season.
 
They were helped along the way, not just by the greatness of QB-Philip Rivers, or the emergence of the maturing Ryan Mathews, or the leadership of a fiery-demanding coach Mike McCoy, but rather by a relatively easy schedule, the second easiest in the league.  That was last year and last year no longer counts.
 
This year the Bolts play the 4th toughest slate in the NFL, opponents with a combined (.563) winning percentage.  The Raiders and Denver are ranked 1-2 with the hardest schedule, all because the AFC-West wind up playing the power people in the NFC-West, the Seahawks, 49ers and Arizona.
 
The Chargers have a sledgehammer of an offense, Rivers, Mathews as part of a 3-Musketeer running back corps, quality tight ends, and enough receivers to pose threats.  It is the defense where they lack, and they are not totally healthy either.
 
Banged up in the front, the team needs healthy people to compliment pass rusher Corey Liuget.  They are very thin at nose tackle, and have virtually no experienced depth.
 
Linebacking is the strength, and it will take the fierceness of Dwight Freeney’s pass rush and the explosiveness of Melvin Ingram to bail out the deficiencies upfront. 
 
The Chargers have strength in numbers in the secondary, but it is young.  Tonight we find out if cornerback Brandon Flowers has any speed left to cover wideouts, and we find out if Richard Marshall can play safety.  San Diego needs people like Shareece Wright and Darrell Stuckey to take the next step up in terms of productivity after poor years last year.
 
lst round pick Jason Verrett will be a role player at the start.  He is gifted athletically, but has hardly played in preseason, and tonight those will be people like Larry Fitzgerald, Ted Ginn and Michael Floyd running routes against him.
 
If nothing else, San Diego has proven they can put up big offensive numbers with McCoy’s no-huddle offense.  They’ve shown they can spread the field sideline to sideline spraying passes everywhere. We know they can control the clock too with Mathews, Danny Woodhead and Donald Brown.
 
They will score a lot of points but they will have to, because the defense will be allowing points, especially with that schedule of big play quarterbacks they go against.
 
Prediction here, San Diego slugs Arizona, plays ball control to keep Carson Palmer and that Cardinals passing game off the field.  Prediction too, San Diego gets to a (9-7) season and another playoff berth, hoping not to have any significant injuries on defense. 
 
The Chargers have to play fast, because Rivers’ career is on the clock, and there’s little time left to get the chance to get back to the AFC Championship game.  They could with Rivers, they cannot if they have to rely on the defense.

NFL – Pick ’em pal!

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How I view the NFL Divisional Races
 
AFC West
(1) Denver has too much firepower, a healthy offensive line, a rebuilt defense with attitude, and of course Peyton Manning.  They do get Von Miller-Ryan Clady back at 100% health. 
(2) San Diego has an array of big play guys now on offense.  What a match-Philip Rivers with Coach Mike McCoy.  They will score lots of points, but they will need them.  Bolts to finish second because of substandard defense…
(3) Kansas City takes a huge step back.  They went from 2-wins to 11-last year, but gutted some veteran players.  No one can forget  the ugliness of the playoff loss either…this will be a disappointing year at Arrowhead….
(4) Oakland now has to start rookie QB-Derek Carr because of injuries, and they have surrounded him with veterans, but they have no continuity on defense..if they get to (8-8) that will be an accomplishment..
 
AFC East
(1) New England has now had a year to work in the kid WRs with Tom Brady, has rebuilt the defense, which is healthy and younger. 
(2) The Jets talk a good game, but I doubt they have enough to play a good game.  Geno Smith takes a step forward at QB and the defensive front seven is special, but Revis-Cromartie are gone in the secondary and the WR corp is shaky…
(3) Buffalo has the young QB-WR combo-EJ Manuel-Sammy Watkins and depth at RB-but not much else…
(4) Miami-massive attitude adjustment there, not enough people around QB-Ryan Tannehill.
 
AFC North
(1) Cincinnati is the choice here but they need to get Andy Dalton to learn how to win in postseason.
(2) Baltimore has Joe Flacco and an upgrade at WR, but lots of new pieces on defense.  (3) Pittsburgh has failed as an organization to draft talent of late to wrap around Ben Roethlisberger, and likely won’t be in the postseason…
(4) Cleveland has issues everyone and now uncertainty at QB with Hoyer-Manziel debate going on everyday…Might be a year away from being good.
 
AFC South
(1) Indianapolis wins because of Andrew Luck, but also wins because the division is so bad.  Colts have lots of holes in what looks like a rebuild of the roster…
(2) Tennessee starts the life after Chris Johnson era with Ken Whisenhunt as coach, a new look OL, a rebuilt defense, but lacking enough firepower around the uncertain QB-Jake Locker-give them another year…
(3) Jacksonville has the QB of the future sitting right now-Blake Bortels,  but he looks good.  Nothing else on the team does however…
(4) Houston has all the powderkeg players on defense, but they cannot play 60-minutes a game, and they have not added much around Arian Foster-Andre Johnson-not a good year for new coach Bill O’Brien.
 
NFC East
(1) Philadelphia has changed some parts-out goes WR-DeSean Jackson, in comes RB-Darren Sproles and a bigger group of WRs…Defenses caught up with Chip Kelly the second half of the year, but this will be fun to see if they grow this package more…
(2) Washington will be better a couple of weeks down road, but the growth of QB-RG3 in this pocket offense will take time..think the defense is better than anyone realizes…
(3) New York Giants have Eli Manning and a new offense, but question marks at running game, a struggling WR corps, and injuries and new faces on defense..a work in the process package…
(4) Dallas-yes Tony Romo is back but aside from Dez Bryant and Jason Witten, is there anything else…Can a defense that gave up (415Y) per game last year be worse-stay tuned.
 
NFC North
(1) Green Bay thinks it will be more dangerous than in the past with a full commitment to Aaron Rogers no huddle and has 3-RBs to help him..but does porous run defense hold up now that they lost DT-BJ Raji for the year…
(2) Detroit unveils the Jim Caldwell era and they think they can tone down turnover prone QB-Matthew Stafford and make the rest of the offense consistent..the defensive front does play angry, but can they stop anyone in the secondary…
(3) Chicago was very active in free agency and has given Jay Cutler lots of bullets in the gun, and the defensive looks superb with Jared Allen-Lamarr Houston, but do they have enough in the secondary, or is it just outscore people…
(4) Minnesota has new leadership in Mike Zimmer-Norv Turner and I like them..they have RB-Adrian Peterson but face a rebuilding job in their DL.
 
NFC South
(1) New Orleans has a revitalized Drew Brees, playmakers at WR with Stills-Cooks and 3-RBs-but now do they have enough defense…
(2) Atlanta needs to bounce back from the (4-12) misery of last year or Mike Smith could be in trouble..Injuries in OL and LB hurt the hopes of the season…
(3) Carolina must grow QB-Cam Newton, but running off all their WRs seemed a strange way to do business..Deep at RB…and the Ron Rivera defensive front seven is ferocious..Just don’t know about things around the QB…
(4) Tampa Bay’s hiring of Lovie Smith was great, and they hauled in lots of new faces, but will need time to make it fit, and answer the question, who really is the QB.
 
NFC West
(1) Seattle is the likely pick to get to the NFC finals again, but the 3-weeks schedule out of the gate is tough, and they lost a bunch of depth on defense…Still loaded however and really fast around Russell Wilson…
(2) San Francisco-this could be a drift back year eventhough the WR corps and RB group looks good around Colin Kaepernick…but off field  problems-injuries have really stripped defense…
(3) Arizona will be a force, but might have been a real threat for top spot before injuries and suspension gutted the up-the-middle defense..Carson Palmer will be better in year two of Bruce Ariens offense and he has weapons, but jut not enough guns on defense…
(4) St. Louis-just when you thought they had arrived under Jeff Fisher-QB-Sam Bradford goes down again with a knee injury…Defense will have to carry them, but you need star power at QB in this league and they don’t have it.

NFL Lidlifter

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If there was a roof on the stadium, they’d blow the top off of it.  It does not matter whether this one was to be played in the Pacific Northwest or just off Lombardi Avenue-Lambeau Field, it would be loud.
 
And it will be raucous, and it will be electric, and it will be filled with big plays, and probably lots of penalty flags.
 
The Green Bay Packers and their new look “Drive for 75” offense, they want to run 75-snaps a game, goes against Seattle’s Legion of Boom defense tonite, in the opening game of the NFL season.
 
There’s the volatile Mike McCarthy, decked out in Packers green, always with a red-face, against the hyper active, always clapping-shouting-moving around Seahawks coach Pete Carroll.
 
There is the dynamic Russell Wilson, the flamboyant Seahawks QB against the run-and-gun get it done Packers QB-Aaron Rogers.
 
There is the always angry Marshawn Lynch running the ball for the Hawks against Clay Matthews and all his friends on the Green Bay defense.
 
And then there is that Seattle defense, Richard Sherman, his mouth, his attitude, his style, leading a bunch of warriors looking to shutdown and shutup the Packers.
 
Think there will be some trash-talking tonite?  You bet.  Think there will be big plays?  Yes-sir.  Think there will be tons of flags?  Of course, with the new ‘Seattle rules” installed to stop DBs from mugging wide receivers.
 
When last seen, the Hawks were burying the Broncos in the Super Bowl.  When last played, Green Bay was not happy with the crash and burn end to their season.  They both have a purpose tonite.
 
What a way to start the year in the NFL.  Anybody up for 43-41 game?  Welcome to 2014 NFL fans, buckle your helmet and seat belt, this will be a wild game, and likely a wild ride all season long.

The Other QB

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You can go to jail in the real world for ‘Insider Trading’, but this isn’t the real world, it’s just the National Football League.
 
So here we are, just a week away from the Chargers season opener against the Arizona Cardinals, and who is that on the practice field for the Bolts?  Former Big Red starting quarterback Ryan Lindley.
 
Just think of the possibilities.
 
The Chargers signed Lindley, the ex-Aztecs record setting quarterback, because they needed a 3rd team QB to run the scout team.  They know he is young, athletic, bright, competitive.
 
And they know he knows every tidbit of information of Bruce Ariens’ Cardinals offensive playbook. 
 
Lindley spent two years in Arizona, and wound up starting games because of injuries to the other QBs.  Force fed, he had good outings and some awful ones, typical of what young QBs go thru.  But he is a student of the game, a football junkie, and a man who knows what the Big Red will run. 
 
Yes, that Big Red team that will host the Chargers next Monday night.
 
The Chargers may like Lindley, may think he has a future, but they are taking from him this week, every fragment of information on play calls, formations, color codes, numberings, audibles that the Cardinals use.  He may not have arrived here with a Red & White playbook in his hand, but he has it in his mind.
 
How smart of the Chargers to move on Lindley.  How stupid of the Cardinals for cutting him last weekend, knowing they open the season against San Diego this weekend.  They could have hid him on the developmental squad for one week, then pink slipped him .  Granted the Cardinals signed ex-Bolt linebacker Thomas Keiser, and may be trying to steal some defensive information from him too.
 
Insider trading, the Bolts have it, the Cardinals may regret making it available.
 
The Chargers won’t go to jail with the data.  The Cardinals though may be taken to the woodshed, because of what Lindley knows and what the Chargers will do with their defense now that they have that knowledge.

Tuesday September 2nd, 2014

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